A Review of the Nigerian Energy Industry

Oil set for worst week in a month

Gulf-of-mexico-oil-rig24 April 2013, News Wires, Lagos – – Oil is poised to post its biggest weekly loss in more than a month, with Brent edging down towards $102 per barrel on Friday, pressured by ample supply and a sluggish economic recovery that could dent demand.

Crude inventories in the United States are near record levels as the world’s top oil consumer produced more from shale, while shrinking factory activity capped fuel demand growth in China.

Improved US jobs and home sales data also sparked worries that the Federal Reserve could soon scale back bond purchases and tighten liquidity in markets.

Brent eased 2 cents to $102.43 by 0904 GMT, stretching its losses into a fourth session. US crude inched down 9 cents to $94.16 a barrel.

Both were on track for a more than 2% drop this week – their biggest weekly drop since the week ended 19 April.

“There is a lot of supply. Inventories are high in the US and I don’t expect a big increase in demand from China,” said Ken Hasegawa, a commodity sales manager at Newedge Japan.

“Oil still has some room to fall further. It’s possible for Brent to fall to $95 within the next two months.”

Brent hit a three-week low on Thursday after a survey showed that China’s factory activity shrank for the first time in seven months in May, stoking worries over the demand outlook for commodities.

Investors are looking for a rebound in China’s economic growth in the second half of the year that could lift the outlook for fuel demand.

“We expect China’s quarter-on-quarter GDP growth to accelerate in the rest of this year, although year-on-year growth could come in flat or even fall,” Bank of AmericaMerrill Lynch economists said in a note.

The oil market is now eyeing the US driving season which starts this weekend for indications on demand.

Traders have cautioned that there is more than enough gasoline to meet seasonal demand. US gasoline stockpiles last week were close to the highest level for this time of the year since 1999, government data showed.

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