A Review of the Nigerian Energy Industry

Brent passes $111 on Egypt concerns

Oil prices15 August 2013, News Wires – Brent crude prices passed $111 per barrel on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session on a drop in US oil inventories and worries over supplies from the Middle East and North Africa.

As a state of emergency was declared by the Egyptian government following deadly clashes between riot police and supporters of ousted President Mohamed Mursi, investors feared that unrest could choke key supply routes such as the Suez Canal or spill over into key oil producing nations.

“Egypt may not be a major oil producer but the Suez Canal is an important gateway not just for oil flows but also for commodities. If there is any disruption or if the violence results in the shutting down of the canal, the impact will be quite severe,” said Carl Larry, president of Houston-based consultancy Oil Outlook and Opinions.

“It’s like dominoes – if Egypt falls you’re going to have ask yourself ‘where next?'”

Front-month September Brent, which expires later on Thursday, was up $1.03 at $11.23 at 1000 GMT, while US oil rose 98 cents to $107.82.

October Brent was up $1.05 at $109.87 while WTI for October traded up 93 cents at $107.78.

“If the demand outlook is positive, then obviously any threat to supply or actual disruptions are going to give oil prices a big upside,” Larry said, adding that recent economic data had brightened the prospects for oil demand in the US, China and Europe.

Egypt’s Suez Canal and ports were operating normally despite the unrest gripping the country, shipping sources said on Wednesday.

In Opec nation Libya, the deputy oil minister said that production had fallen to 600,000 barrels a day due to field problems, while the Ras Lanuf terminal remained shut a day after the state-run oil company had said it could not guarantee crude deliveries in September because of labour unrest at export terminals.

US crude inventories fell 2.8 million barrels, with stocks at Cushing, Oklahoma dropping for the sixth straight week to hit their lowest level since March, 2012.

Data on Wednesday showed that the economies of Germany and France grew more quickly than expected in the second quarter, pulling the euro zone out of an 18-month recession.

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