A Review of the Nigerian Energy Industry

Brent-WTI gap narrows to month low

Brent crude10 December 2013 – Brent crude fell 2% on Monday in reaction to well-supplied markets and limited demand from European refiners, narrowing the gap between the global and US oil benchmarks to its slimmest in nearly a month.

Brent’s premium to US oil was further eroded by news that TransCanada has begun filling its 700,000 barrel-per-day oil pipeline, which will transport crude from the Cushing, Oklahoma, storage hub to Gulf Coast refiners.

Comments by St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard hinting that the Fed is focused on lifting its monetary easing program also pressured prices, Reuters reported.

“Every time they come out and change their message, even at the margin, it moves prices,” said Michael Weis, commodity analyst at Schneider Electric in Louisville, Kentucky. “The uncertainty behind when that’s going to happen, and by how much, will drive the market.”

Brent futures settled $2.22 per barrel lower at $109.39, falling below the 100-day moving average of $109.70 for the first time in a week.

US crude oil prices bounced in a moderate range from higher to lower, ending the session 31 cents lower at $97.34, after trading as high as $97.97.

Traders who bet on rising prices on Friday were selling contracts to unwind trades on Monday, analysts said.

“There’s been higher demand to get crude to the refineries to make distillates,” said Bill Baruch, senior market strategist at iitrader.com in Chicago. “You’re also seeing an unwinding of the spread now with this pipeline coming online. Longs are liquidating the spread.”

Brent oil’s premium to US oil narrowed by $1.91 to settle at $12.05, its narrowest settlement since 12 November.

The Brent January futures contract premium to February touched a one-month low of 18 cents from a high of 46 cents on Friday, mirroring weakness in physical over-the-counter trades at a time of weaker European refinery demand, analysts said.

Markets were also brimming with supply, with Saudi Arabia’s production little changed in November from the previous month and Opec producers Iraq and Iran making it clear they have no interest in contributing to a collective cut in output should one be required next year.

US oil production from the fastest developing shale plays was expected to rise by more than 50,000 bpd in January.

Losses were limited somewhat by signs of accelerating global growth in China, the world’s second largest oil consumer. Chinese trade figures on Sunday showed exports well above forecasts in November. Crude imports by China were up 19.1% from the previous month on a daily basis.

Weather-related oil production losses provided some price support. North Sea oil producers cut output and moved staff from some platforms as a major storm blasted toward mainland Europe in what meteorologists warned could be the worst weather to hit the continent in years.

Cold weather also dented oil and gas production in the US and could further crimp output in top crude-producing states such as Texas and North Dakota.
*Luke Johnson, Upstreamonline

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