A Review of the Nigerian Energy Industry

US crude up on weak dollar

Oil prices09 April 2014, News Wires – US crude oil prices rose more than 2% on Tuesday in a technical-driven rally boosted by a weaker US dollar and forecasts for a draw on stockpiles of domestic oil products.

Fresh unrest in eastern Ukraine provided background support for Brent as traders worried that heightened tensions between Moscow and the Western powers might interrupt oil supply from Russia, one of the world’s top oil exporters, Reuters reported.

The US Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday it did not assume that a disruption of oil supply or demand would result from the events in Ukraine.

The US dollar fell to near three-week lows against a basket of six major currencies on Tuesday, which boosted buying of dollar-priced commodities such as oil.

US commercial crude stocks rose last week by 7.1 million barrels, much more than expected, according to preliminary data released by the industry group the American Petroleum Institute. A preliminary poll by Reuters forecast crude stocks rose by just 1.3 million barrels.

US crude oil pared gains slightly in post-settlement trade, falling by 23 cents to $102.31 a barrel in the immediate minutes after the data was released.

However, traders said they remained bullish as they awaited official data from the Energy Information Administration to be released Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT), that is expected to show that gasoline stocks and stockpiles at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point fell.

Technical trading boosted Brent and US crude prices in addition to the support from fundamentals after both contracts fell to key lows on Monday, and bounced back in Tuesday’s session.

“The seeds to today’s prices were sowed yesterday,” said Walter Zimmermann, chief technical analyst at United-ICAP in New Jersey.

“Both US crude and Brent held exactly, to the penny, to a bull mark correction (level). The reaction to falling to that key level was (they) ricocheted higher.”

US crude rose $2.27 to hit a session high of $102.71 a barrel, before giving up some gains to settle $2.12 higher at $102.56 a barrel.

Brent rose $2.03 to a session high of $107.85 a barrel. It settled $1.85 higher at $107.67 a barrel.

Brent’s premium over US crude narrowed 27 cents to $5.11.

Limiting Brent’s gains was the prospect that Libyan oil exports would rebound. Crude prices fell on Monday after news that rebels had agreed to gradually end their eight-month blockade of Libyan oil ports, which account for around 700,000 barrels per day.

However, Libya’s National Oil Corp had not yet lifted a force majeure at the eastern ports on Tuesday.

The Ukraine government said the occupation of government buildings by pro-Moscow protesters that began on Sunday is part of a Russian-led plan to dismember the country. US Secretary of State John Kerry said he feared Moscow might repeat its Crimean operation.

Nato Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen warned Moscow that if it encroaches into eastern Ukraine, there would be “grave consequences” for its relationship with the alliance.

News of an easing of tensions between the West and Iran kept a lid on global oil prices. Tehran said Monday it hoped for enough progress this week to enable negotiators to start drafting a final accord by mid-May to settle a long-running dispute over its nuclear program.

The Islamic republic and six world powers will hold a new round of talks in Vienna on Tuesday and Wednesday.



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