Brent climbs upwards

Risks to oil supply19 August 2014, News Wires – Brent crude edged up towards $102 per barrel on Tuesday, but stayed near a 14-month low reached in the previous session on weak demand and easing concerns over risks to supply.

Brent shed nearly $2 on Monday, as investor worries over conflict in Iraq eased, and as higher Libyan oil output added to already ample supplies.

“There is still plenty of oil in the market, mostly due to weak demand from refineries in Europe and Asia,” Newedge Japan commodity sales manager Yusuke Seta told Reuters.

“At the moment, I don’t see any factors that could possibly bring demand back into the market.”

Brent crude for October delivery had risen $0.21 to $101.81 per barrel by Tuesday morning, after closing $1.93 per barrel lower on Monday.

US crude for September delivery was $0.36 higher at $96.77 per barrel. The contract, which expires on Wednesday, ended the previous session down $0.94.

“Brent could test $100, but should find very, very strong support at that level. OPEC countries will take action, if oil goes below $100, because they won’t be able to maintain their budgets,” Seta said.

Iraqi and Kurdish forces recaptured Iraq’s biggest dam from Islamist militants with the help of US air strikes to secure a vital strategic objective in fighting that threatens to break up the key oil producing country.

In Ukraine, government forces advanced on pro-Russian rebels, but continued fighting in the country suggests the risks are far from over.

Dozens of people, including women and children, were killed on Monday as they fled fighting in eastern Ukraine when their convoy of buses was hit by rocket fire.

The US dollar gained against a basket of major currencies, while global equities also rose with Nasdaq hitting a 14-year high on Monday, supported by positive US housing data and decreasing worries over Ukraine.

A stronger greenback could drag on dollar-denominated oil.

US commercial crude oil and refined product stockpiles were forecast to have fallen in the week to 15 August, a preliminary Reuters survey of analysts showed.

The analysts estimated, on average, that crude oil stocks decreased 1.5 million barrels last week.

Distillate stockpiles were seen down 200,000 barrels, and gasoline inventories down 1.7 million barrels.

The survey was taken ahead of weekly inventory reports from industry group the American Petroleum Institute due on Tuesday and from the US Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration due on Wednesday.

The UN nuclear watchdog chief said on Monday Iran had begun implementing transparency measures ahead of an 25 August deadline, as part of a long-running investigation into suspected atomic bomb research by Tehran.

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