A Review of the Nigerian Energy Industry

Oil comeback stalls as crude falls

World oil prices
World oil prices

19 February 2015 – The comeback rally in oil paused on Wednesday, with crude prices falling 5% or more after traders and investors were overwhelmed by the latest estimates for US supply builds that came in nearly five times above market expectations.

Benchmark Brent oil fell below the psychological $60 support and US crude traded not far above $50 after industry group American Petroleum Institute estimated a supply build of more than 14 million barrels last week. A Reuters poll had expected a growth of just about 3 million barrels for the week to 13 February.

Oil had rallied over the past month, with Brent rising 35% from a mid-January low on short-covering by traders fearing the market had hit bottom after a 60% price crash since June. Violence in Iraq and Libya, both important oil producers, added fuel to the rebound.

But Wednesday’s session showed that supply worries have gripped the market again, Reuters reported.

“We have more supply coming from here with the refinery maintenance season, and that’s prompting some people at least to ask if the market has overstretched itself with the rebound,” said Tariq Zahir, managing member at Tyche Capital Advisors in Laurel Hollow in New York.

Crude stocks rose nearly 5 million barrels in the week ended 6 February, taking total US inventories to a record high of nearly 418 million barrels. Official supply-demand data for last week, as well as updated inventory numbers, will be provided by the government on Thursday.

Brent closed down $2, or 4%, its most in two weeks, at $60.53 a barrel. It slid further in post-settlement trade, touching a low of $59.25 by 5:09 p.m. EST (2205 GMT). On Tuesday, Brent had risen to $63, its highest this year, marking a 35$ gain from a near six-year low of $45.19 set on 13 January.

US crude closed down $1.39, or 2.6%, at $52.14. It traded as low as $50.32 post-settlement, according to Reuters.

Prices were down from the open, as celebrations for the Chinese Lunar New Year that stretches into the weekend thinned trade volumes in Asia.

The selloff picked up by afternoon following a fire and explosion at a gasoline processing unit in a refinery owned by Exxon Mobil in Torrance, California, near Los Angeles. Gasoline and heating oil prices saw less losses compared to crude as traders reacted nervously to the incident.

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