A Review of the Nigerian Energy Industry

Oil falls as US stocks rise

30 September 2015, News Wires – Crude oil futures fell in early Asian trade on Wednesday after US inventories showed a weekly buildup that far exceeded analyst expectations.

oil priceThe American Petroleum Institute said late on Tuesday that US crude stockpiles rose by 4.6 million barrels to 457.8 million barrels in the week to 25 September. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected an increase of only 102,000 barrels.

Front-month US crude dropped 47 cents, or more than 1%, to $44.76 a barrel in early trade on Wednesday. The contract settled Tuesday’s trade at $45.23 a barrel, up 80 cents, or 1.8%, on the day.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, fell 35 cents to $47.88 a barrel. On Tuesday, the contract rose 89 cents, or 1.9%, to $48.23.

The US government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) will issue official weekly inventory data on Wednesday.

Wednesday’s session may have added volatility due to the close of September and third-quarter trading, according to some analysts.

US crude is heading for a 9% decline this month as the slump in commodities continues amid deepening concerns over China’s slowing economic growth.

Brent crude is on track to round out September with a near 12% drop.

Prices are unlikely to move substantially higher in the near term because demand growth is easing and likely to continue slowing into 2016, Rhidoy Rashid, oil analyst at consultancy Energy Aspects, told Reuters Global Oil Forum.

“We see demand growth easing from 1.5 million bpd to 1 million bpd next year,” Rashid said.

He expects supplies to swing into a year-on-year decline, but prices “need to be low for at least the next six months – so in the $45-$55 range – to ensure a proper rebalancing.”

  • Reuters
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