Oil rises in early trade

*Oil inventory.

*Oil inventory.

30 November 2015 – Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Monday, although gains were limited as investors look ahead to an Opec meeting where ministers from the oil producing group will set policy in the face of a market still in glut.

Oil prices are heading for declines of as much as 10% this month as optimistic assessments that the overhang in the market would ease have proved wrong.

US crude was up 18 cents at $41.88 a barrel early on Monday after falling more than 3% on Friday. The contract is heading for a 10% fall in November.

Brent crude was up 4 cents at $44.90 a barrel following a decline of 1.3% on Friday. The global benchmark is on track for a 9.4% decline this month.

Opec officials have called into question an upbeat forecast from the group’s researchers last week before the gathering of oil ministers on 4 December, with some sceptical there will be a quick easing of the supply glut in 2016.

The research team expects higher demand for Opec oil next year as supply from producers such as the US declines, potentially reducing the glut, with world oil demand seen rising by 1.25 million barrels a day.

Prices have slumped by more than half since the middle of last year because of the overhang.

Opec last year made a historic decision to refuse to prop up prices by cutting supply and focussed on defending market share. The shift was led by Saudi Arabia, supported by other Gulf Opec members, but doubts about the policy among less wealthy members are growing.

Still, officials told Reuters last week it is unlikely the group will change that policy.

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