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    Home » Near-term equity pullback looms as market awaits next week’s inflation data

    Near-term equity pullback looms as market awaits next week’s inflation data

    May 15, 2025
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    The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) building in Sandton. It has operated as a market place for the trading of financial products for nearly 125 years.

    Johannesburg — South African equities remain vulnerable to further pullback after a recent rally pushed the JSE FTSE Top 40 index above the 85,000-point threshold. On Wednesday, the benchmark slipped 0.28% to close at 84,915.47, suggesting a possible pause in momentum as investors reassess valuation levels. Despite the dip, market breadth was constructive, with 12 of 20 sectors posting gains.

    The electronic technology sector surged 14.36%, while producer manufacturing and technology services rose 4.26% and 2.26%, respectively. Transportation and utilities also showed strength. However, weakness in health technology (-2.03%) and non-energy minerals (-1.58%) pointed to some divergence across industries. Among major constituents, Naspers advanced 1.93%, Capitec Bank Holdings gained 1.01%, while Firstrand and Standard Bank Group declined.

    Investec edged 0.15% lower despite news related to its strategic energy initiative. Investec’s application to the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) for a licence to trade electricity marks a significant step in the bank’s broader push into energy markets. The plan to procure solar power aligns with South Africa’s energy liberalization efforts. While the stock closed marginally lower, the long-term implications of diversification into renewable energy trading may support re-rating potential over time.

    Macroeconomic conditions remain fragile. The latest BankservAfrica Transaction Index declined in April, reflecting weak consumer and business activity. Still, low inflation at 2.7% raises the likelihood of interest rate cuts, which would lower financing costs and support equities. While short-term risks persist due to global headwinds and sluggish local growth, monetary easing and strength in select sectors provide a cautiously constructive near-term outlook.

    *Daniel Wesonga, Senior Sales Manager at Pepperstone

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