OpeOluwani Akintayo
14 August 2018, Sweetcrude, Lagos — Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC, in its Monthly Oil market Report, MOMR, for August released on Monday, revised down world oil demand for 2018 and 2019 by 20 thousand barrels per day each.
According to the report, world oil demand is anticipated to increase by 1.64 mb/d in 2018, revised down by 20 tb/d as compared to last month’s MOMR.
World oil demand is now projected to average 98.83 mb/d.
Oil demand growth in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, OECD, region was revised higher by 50 tb/d in 1Q 2018 and 10 tb/d in 2Q 2018, mainly as a result of a continued better-than-expected performance from the petrochemical and industrial sectors in the US.
A downward revision of 40 tb/d in the OECD Asia Pacific region in 2Q18 resulted from lower heavy fuel demand in Japan.
In the non-OECD region, oil demand growth saw some upward adjustments in 1Q 2018, while 2Q 2018 was revised down by 0.14 mb/d.
Weaker-than-expected data from the Middle East and Latin America on the back of fuel substitution, subsidy reduction policies as well as slower overall industrial activities, impacted oil demand data negatively, mostly in 2Q 2018.
On the other hand, positive economic momentum in the other Asia region, including India, supported a positive upward revision in the region.
For 2019, world oil demand growth is expected at 1.43 mb/d, a downward revision of 20 tb/d from last month’s projection.
Within the OECD region, growth is projected to originate from OECD Americas with the total OECD region expected to add around 0.27 mb/d of potential oil demand growth in 2019.
In the non-OECD region, oil demand growth is anticipated to improve in Latin America and the Middle East from the levels seen in 2018, despite minor downward adjustments as compared to last month’s assessment to now stand at 1.16 mb/d in 2019.
China and India are forecast to see the highest growth levels among the non-OECD countries in 2019.
