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    Home » Morgan Stanley expects oil at $100 a barrel in second half of year

    Morgan Stanley expects oil at $100 a barrel in second half of year

    January 22, 2022
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    News wire — Morgan Stanley expects Brent crude oil prices to advance to $100 a barrel in the second half of this year, with the market heading for a simultaneous “triple deficit” of inventories, spare capacity and investment.

    “The key oil products markets (gasoline, jet fuel and gasoil/diesel) all show strong crack spreads, steep backwardation and inventories that have fallen to low levels. None of this signals weakness,” it said in a note.

    The bank raised its price forecasts for Brent crude to $100 a barrel for the last two quarters of the year, up from the $90 and $87.50 previously estimated for the third and fourth quarters respectively.

    Brent crude futures were trading at about $88 a barrel on Friday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was at $85. Both benchmarks are on track for a fifth consecutive weekly gain.

    Morgan Stanley’s projection chimes with those of other investments banks, including Goldman Sachs, in predicting oil prices could hit $100 per barrel this year.

    • Reuters (Reporting by Swati Verma in Bengaluru Editing by David Goodman)
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