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    Home » Exxon raises earnings growth, oil production forecasts to 2030

    Exxon raises earnings growth, oil production forecasts to 2030

    December 9, 2025
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    Houston — Exxon Mobil is targeting US$25 billion in earnings growth from 2024 to 2030 and will increase oil and gas production, the top U.S. oil producer said on Tuesday as it leans on profitable assets in Guyana and the Permian Basin.

    The outlook represents a $5 billion increase from its previous plan, although Exxon will maintain its annual spending targets of $28 billion to $33 billion per year through 2030.

    Exxon said its updated corporate plan reflects its work to cut costs and increase profits even through periods of oil price volatility. Its upstream focus also includes growing its liquefied natural gas business.

    “We are more profitable than we were five years ago, and we expect that to continue as the advantages we’ve unlocked position us for even greater opportunities in the years ahead,” Exxon CEO Darren Woods said in prepared remarks before an investor presentation.

    Low-cost Permian oil will boost profits
    Upstream production will reach 5.5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2030, up from a previous forecast of 5.4 million boepd.

    That will be helped by the Permian Basin, the top U.S. oilfield, where Exxon said it will grow production to 2.5 million boepd, up from the previous goal of 2.3 million boepd.

    Earnings from the upstream business is expected to grow by more than $14 billion through the end of the decade from 2024.

    AI is being used to direct drilling paths and Exxon said such technology is allowing it to save money across operations. Cost of supply in the Permian is expected to be around $30 per barrel, Exxon said, down $5 from its previous expectation.

    Exxon said it also targets $35 billion in cash flow growth by 2030 versus 2024, representing a $5 billion increase from its earlier outlook.

    The updated plan is likely to be received positively by investors, said TPH Energy Research analyst Jeoffrey Lambujon.

    Exxon increased its cost savings plan by $2 billion and now expects to reach $20 billion in reductions by 2030.

    *Sheila Dang & Vallari Srivastava; editing: Sriraj Kalluvila, Chizu Nomiyama & Alexander Smith – Reuters

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